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Jun 6, 2023·edited Jun 6, 2023Author

This is a major strategic problem for the GOP, the things that win a primary are things that hurt them in the general. With the current coalitions between the two parties the GOP is at a disadvantage an basically has to win a bunch of toss up states by narrow margins and relies on an electoral college advantage rather than actually getting majority support.

GOP candidates that would be good general election candidates stand little chance in their own primary.

With DeSantis in particular he is both not Trump and too much like Trump to really even win the primary. Trump stalwarts won't vote for him and people that want to vote against Trump see him as too much like Trump.

All of this leads me to believe Trump will yet again be the nominee or someone else not named DeSantis will capture the anti-Trump vote and kind of come out of nowhere sort of like Carter/Clinton/Obama did on the Democratic side in the past.

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